Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
Price history
Market price over time.
Model analysis
No forecast recorded for this market yet. Forecasts are generated for open, tradeable markets above the liquidity threshold.
Order book
No order book captured.
Related markets
Verified deterministic relationships only
- 42.4%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 22.8%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 21.3%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 7.2%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 5.1%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 0.7%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 0.5%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 0.4%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 0.4%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 0.4%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 0.4%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 0.4%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 0.4%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
- 0.4%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?excl·exh
Resolution criteria
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
Edgecast provides information and analytics, not financial advice and not a guarantee of outcomes. Figures labelled MODEL are estimates produced by our models and are not objective truth. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.