Discovery/entertainmentopenneg-riskOscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

stale dataas of 34m agoensemble-v1.2.0late: clob_book, ensemble_forecasts, gamma_events
Market prob.
0.3%
MARKET FACT
Fair est.
MODEL ESTIMATE
Edge est.
MODEL ESTIMATE
Confidence
Liquidity
$9.7k
MARKET FACT
24h volume
MARKET FACT
Resolves
Mar 14, 27

Price history

Market price over time.

0 points
Not enough price history to chart.

Model analysis

No forecast recorded for this market yet. Forecasts are generated for open, tradeable markets above the liquidity threshold.

Order book

No order book captured.

Related markets

Verified deterministic relationships only

Resolution criteria

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Edgecast provides information and analytics, not financial advice and not a guarantee of outcomes. Figures labelled MODEL are estimates produced by our models and are not objective truth. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.