Discovery/scienceopenneg-riskHighest temperature in Austin on September 7?

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 7?

stale dataas of 19m agoensemble-v1.2.0late: clob_book, gamma_events
Market prob.
0.1%
one-sided book
Fair est.
MODEL ESTIMATE
Edge est.
MODEL ESTIMATE
Confidence
Liquidity
$55.7k
MARKET FACT
24h volume
$3.5k
MARKET FACT
Resolves
Sep 7, 26

Price history

Market price over time.

0 points
Not enough price history to chart.

Model analysis

No forecast recorded for this market yet. Forecasts are generated for open, tradeable markets above the liquidity threshold.

Order book

No order book captured.

Related markets

Verified deterministic relationships only

Resolution criteria

Source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Edgecast provides information and analytics, not financial advice and not a guarantee of outcomes. Figures labelled MODEL are estimates produced by our models and are not objective truth. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.