Discovery/entertainmentopenneg-riskNext James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

Polymarket ↗

stale dataas of 2.6h agoensemble-v1.2.0late: clob_book, ensemble_forecasts, gamma_events

Market prob.

25.1%

MARKET FACT

Fair est.

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MODEL ESTIMATE

Edge est.

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MODEL ESTIMATE

Confidence

—

Liquidity

$5.7k

MARKET FACT

24h volume

$8.9k

MARKET FACT

Resolves

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Dec 31, 26

Price history

Market price over time.

0 points

Not enough price history to chart.

Model analysis

No forecast recorded for this market yet. Forecasts are generated for open, tradeable markets above the liquidity threshold.

Order book

No order book captured.

Related markets

Verified deterministic relationships only

21.3%No one announced as next James Bond?excl
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2.7%Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?excl
2.4%Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?excl
2.3%Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?excl
2.0%Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?excl
0.8%Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?excl
0.4%Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?excl
0.4%Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?excl
0.4%Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond?excl
0.3%Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?excl
0.3%Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?excl
0.2%Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond?excl
0.2%James Collier announced as next James Bond?excl
0.2%James Norton announced as next James Bond?excl
0.1%Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?excl
0.1%Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?excl
0.1%Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?excl

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Edgecast provides information and analytics, not financial advice and not a guarantee of outcomes. Figures labelled MODEL are estimates produced by our models and are not objective truth. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.