Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 90°F or higher on September 8?
Price history
Market price over time.
Model analysis
No forecast recorded for this market yet. Forecasts are generated for open, tradeable markets above the liquidity threshold.
Order book
No order book captured.
Related markets
Verified deterministic relationships only
- 35.5%Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 8?excl·exh
- 24.0%Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 8?excl·exh
- 14.5%Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 8?excl·exh
- 10.9%Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on September 8?excl·exh
- 7.5%Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 8?excl·exh
- 2.5%Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 8?excl·exh
- 0.7%Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 8?excl·exh
- 0.4%Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?excl·exh
- 0.2%Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?excl·exh
- 0.1%Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on September 8?excl·exh
Resolution criteria
Source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
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