Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Price history
Market price over time.
Model analysis
No forecast recorded for this market yet. Forecasts are generated for open, tradeable markets above the liquidity threshold.
Order book
No order book captured.
Related markets
Verified deterministic relationships only
- 53.7%Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 26.5%Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 7.5%Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 5.3%Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 1.7%Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.7%Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.4%Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.4%Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.4%Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.3%Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.3%Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.1%Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.1%Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.1%Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.1%Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.1%Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.1%Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
- 0.1%Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?excl
Resolution criteria
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Edgecast provides information and analytics, not financial advice and not a guarantee of outcomes. Figures labelled MODEL are estimates produced by our models and are not objective truth. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.