Discovery/politicsopenneg-riskNH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Carleigh Beriont be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?

stale dataas of 19m agoensemble-v1.2.0late: clob_book, gamma_events
Market prob.
1.9%
MARKET FACT
Fair est.
MODEL ESTIMATE
Edge est.
MODEL ESTIMATE
Confidence
Liquidity
$57.8k
MARKET FACT
24h volume
$12.0k
MARKET FACT
Resolves
Sep 8, 26

Price history

Market price over time.

0 points
Not enough price history to chart.

Model analysis

No forecast recorded for this market yet. Forecasts are generated for open, tradeable markets above the liquidity threshold.

Order book

No order book captured.

Related markets

Verified deterministic relationships only

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Edgecast provides information and analytics, not financial advice and not a guarantee of outcomes. Figures labelled MODEL are estimates produced by our models and are not objective truth. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.