EDGECAST
What is this?
Discovery/sportsopenneg-risk2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Polymarket ↗
stale dataas of 33m agoensemble-v1.2.0late: clob_book, ensemble_forecasts, gamma_events
Market prob.
4.2%
MARKET FACT
Fair est.
—
MODEL ESTIMATE
Edge est.
—
MODEL ESTIMATE
Confidence
—
Liquidity
$71.8k
MARKET FACT
24h volume
$18.4k
MARKET FACT
Resolves
—
Sep 13, 26

Price history

Market price over time.

1 points
Not enough price history to chart.

Model analysis

No forecast recorded for this market yet. Forecasts are generated for open, tradeable markets above the liquidity threshold.

Order book

captured 10h ago

PriceSizeTotal
5.40%250$14
5.30%600$32
5.20%250$13
5.10%3,251$166
5.00%400$20
4.60%100$5
4.50%20$1
4.40%120$5
4.30%spread +0.20ppimb -0.778
4.20%18$1
4.00%545$22
3.90%3,675$143
3.50%505$18
3.00%2,033$61
2.90%34$1
2.80%36$1
2.70%37$1
Bid depth ±5%
$1
Ask depth ±5%
$6

Related markets

Verified deterministic relationships only

Resolution criteria

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Edgecast provides information and analytics, not financial advice and not a guarantee of outcomes. Figures labelled MODEL are estimates produced by our models and are not objective truth. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.