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Markets where our estimated fair probability differs from the market price.Fair values are model estimates, not truth.
stale dataas of 36m agoensemble-v1.2.0late: clob_book, ensemble_forecasts, gamma_events
4 opportunities
Suppressed markets (thin liquidity, one-sided book, low confidence) are excluded but still recorded in the forecast history.
| Market | Market | Fair est. | Edge | Conf. | Score | EV / $1 | Liquidity | Spread | Resolves | Top signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.5% | 54.2% | +2.70pp | 0.56medium | 4.57 | +0.041 | $393.0k | +1.0pp | 7.6d | book_imbalance(3) | |
| 87.5% | 87.0% | -0.51pp | 0.46medium | 3.74 | +0.000 | $624.9k | +1.0pp | 1.8mo | book_imbalance(2) | |
| 60.5% | 60.0% | -0.54pp | 0.41medium | 3.57 | -0.000 | $386.0k | +1.0pp | 9.8h | book_imbalance(3) | |
| 52.5% | 50.5% | -2.00pp | 0.45medium | 3.46 | +0.013 | $256.9k | +1.0pp | 3.0mo | book_imbalance(2) |
Edgecast provides information and analytics, not financial advice and not a guarantee of outcomes. Figures labelled MODEL are estimates produced by our models and are not objective truth. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.