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Markets where our estimated fair probability differs from the market price.Fair values are model estimates, not truth.
stale dataas of 64m agoensemble-v1.2.0late: clob_book, ensemble_forecasts, gamma_events
4 opportunities
Suppressed markets (thin liquidity, one-sided book, low confidence) are excluded but still recorded in the forecast history.
| Market | Market | Fair est. | Edge | Conf. | Score | EV / $1 | Liquidity | Spread | Resolves | Top signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.5% | 54.6% | +3.06pp | 0.58medium | 4.71 | +0.048 | $601.1k | +1.0pp | 7.9d | book_imbalance(3) | |
| 87.5% | 86.9% | -0.57pp | 0.48medium | 3.80 | +0.005 | $570.2k | +1.0pp | 1.8mo | book_imbalance(2) | |
| 62.5% | 61.1% | -1.36pp | 0.42medium | 3.79 | +0.022 | $375.6k | +1.0pp | 11.8h | book_imbalance(3) | |
| 85.5% | 84.8% | -0.74pp | 0.30low | 3.21 | +0.044 | $3.19M | +0.1pp | 2.9mo | book_imbalance(2) |
Edgecast provides information and analytics, not financial advice and not a guarantee of outcomes. Figures labelled MODEL are estimates produced by our models and are not objective truth. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.