Discovery/politicsopenneg-riskElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?

stale dataas of 6m agoensemble-v1.2.0late: clob_book
Market prob.
0.1%
one-sided book
Fair est.
MODEL ESTIMATE
Edge est.
MODEL ESTIMATE
Confidence
Liquidity
$63.7k
MARKET FACT
24h volume
$30
MARKET FACT
Resolves
Sep 8, 26

Price history

Market price over time.

0 points
Not enough price history to chart.

Model analysis

No forecast recorded for this market yet. Forecasts are generated for open, tradeable markets above the liquidity threshold.

Order book

No order book captured.

Related markets

Verified deterministic relationships only

Resolution criteria

Source: https://x.com/elonmusk

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Edgecast provides information and analytics, not financial advice and not a guarantee of outcomes. Figures labelled MODEL are estimates produced by our models and are not objective truth. Prediction markets carry risk of loss.